Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 261.494226 295.106633 332.429677 377.132114 429.460345 489.069069 562.527191
2025-05-18 206.519230 249.355663 301.103831 368.935685 456.568675 567.443251 720.735804
2025-05-25 183.483939 231.884362 293.828730 380.358132 500.449432 664.847865 913.469995
2025-06-01 163.138464 213.439084 280.730685 379.532889 524.761084 736.874158 1082.986973
2025-06-08 145.635498 195.926548 265.667820 372.366676 536.958528 791.101488 1234.523687
2025-06-15 133.859769 184.657534 257.433507 373.065815 559.666657 863.460757 1429.289816
2025-06-22 121.762799 171.477575 244.652246 364.670390 565.938177 909.004909 1586.072196
2025-06-29 113.175495 162.535349 237.081743 363.150106 582.648710 974.222514 1793.702070
2025-07-06 102.733155 149.791643 222.299700 347.905747 573.221491 990.205209 1905.953573
2025-07-13 99.533256 147.941311 224.456228 361.170234 616.126521 1111.423988 2272.204007
2025-07-20 96.996126 146.856569 227.634181 376.396060 664.698742 1252.816936 2726.624905
2025-07-27 92.216657 141.697996 223.466501 377.797595 686.500751 1342.443279 3082.912141
2025-08-03 85.819358 133.506372 213.631960 368.038276 685.352217 1383.824465 3333.039335
2025-08-10 80.339100 126.489430 205.301761 360.310924 687.516207 1433.746862 3626.427646
2025-08-17 78.194480 125.003289 206.612147 371.393839 731.558577 1592.246179 4303.070701
2025-08-24 74.547545 120.613340 202.253777 370.592945 749.023995 1688.629462 4825.169308
2025-08-31 70.400839 115.050108 195.271975 363.633284 751.262539 1745.894870 5239.713969
2025-09-07 67.574635 111.667076 192.108692 364.312309 771.659916 1857.058841 5903.701526
2025-09-14 63.902776 106.508841 185.162853 356.157856 769.322913 1903.669814 6341.504918
2025-09-21 61.287622 103.140830 181.442742 354.681075 783.557211 2002.526062 7049.941743
2025-09-28 57.377308 97.135363 172.132226 339.870640 761.474255 1986.210554 7245.285035
2025-10-05 56.712185 97.206814 174.920544 352.757796 814.364561 2219.658699 8754.595138
2025-10-12 56.233353 97.594520 178.363682 367.546627 875.139342 2498.080912 10721.093685